[quote:2565f1be88="thejim"]1/2 nl
first, about midnight, table a mixed bag, but not overly aggressive. You limp after one limper while in mp with ATss. Six people total see the flop of 789 two spades. check check, guy to your right bets 10. You raise to 30. Folds back to him and he goes all-in for 160. He's a local, who obviously plays a lot, but doesn't know theory (like, at all). His range includes sets and two pair, but is very heavy on a flopped straight. He limps about 70% of the hands. What do you do and why?
[/quote:2565f1be88]
Well. Looks like you have to hit one of 12 outs to have any chance of winning anything here. But since I perfer going with my "read" in cases like this, you said you basically have him on a flopped straight. So possibly hitting your straight only splits the pot with you. Hitting your hands beats all of his other holdings as well. I mean really, what other flop are you wishing woulda come with ATs? Yeh...its a call.
[quote:2565f1be88]
second, about 3am, table has gone crazy. ep raises to 12 after one limper, one caller to you on the button with 79cc. You call, although you only have ~170 in your stack. 6 players total (for 12 each), pot of 72. Flop 985 one club. Checked to you, you bet 40. BB calls, and utg limp/caller calls. Turn 4c. BB bets 75. He is incapable of doing this with a flopped set or a straight, so he could have two pair or a set of fours, but most likely a weird overpair like TT or JJ. What do you do and why?[/quote:2565f1be88]
Again, looks like you have 12 outs to making your hand here, possibly +2 outs if another 9 hits. So he bets $75 into $152 pot, my first thought would be is this guy capable of calculating his bet size in relation to the pot and your stack? Again, your read is an overpair...so in your mind have all 14 outs and only calling leaves you with $40 left behind. I'd go all in if you thought he was capable of folding eventhough he has the odds, or I would just call and save yourself the extra $40 if you brick.
