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Fat Bastards

Fat Bastards

I know i have touched on this before...

but after talking with shawn while horking down a monster burrito from freebirds... and him nodding his head in fake agreement, i believe this theory of mine is more true than ever .... personally i think he was really sitting there staring at me saying my god man how can you eat that entire thing ... throw in a salad every once in a while ... "look at me i purposely got have of my 1/2 bird filled with lettuce..."

at any rate...
When a Fat Ass Sits down at a table in a live game people classify him as a loser and are more likely to call him in questionable situations than they are to call someone that is fit or well at least not orca fat.

why? cause people associate fat people with losers or at least loser like tendencies. and that translates into people thinking that the fat person is a lesser player/person that is more likely to lose.

so you are saying "well hey fat ass put it in the middle when you have the best hand". sure that is all fine and good but you are taking away a huge weapon in the game of poker... bluffing....

so lets break this down.

lets say that you get involved in 100 hands where you get alot of the money in on the flop or preflop or turn... basically any point in which someone can still be drawing at something.

50 of those times you are ahead (weather you know it or not).
50 of those times you are behind.(weather you know it or not)

of the 50 times you are ahead and are the aggressor I would say that there 15 times where you are going to get called by a marginal hand if you are fit ... and about 25 times if you are fat. of those times where you are called for either one its 50/50...

so fit people = 7.5 wins + 35wins (uncontested)= 42.5 wins
Lard bucket = 12.5 wins + 25 wins (uncontested) = 37.5 wins

the times that you are behind ...

i would say that 30 times out of 50 you are getting called if you are thin...
and 40 times out of 50 if you are on the bloated side of things.... the reason these are higher is that most people even if they are marginal if they are ahead there in general is a much larger chance that they are going to call... now lets say that of this the same 50/50 win ratio applies...

so
fit = 15+20= 35
fat= 20+10= 30

so as a fit person you can expect to win 77.5 times out of 100
and as a fat slob you can expect to win 67.5 times out of 100.

so there you have it ... those ten times out of 100 hands (of this situation) is the difference.... those ten hand can make a huge difference.

at a 1-2 game assuming that 25% of the money was already in the pot ($50) that is at a minimum 500 more in profit.

this is a small piece of this puzzle the donut hole goes deep.... this was jsut one situation... imagine the situations in which the fat ass bets out and the other person cause his opponent is a fat loser raises or bluffs back... the fat ass losses money like a computer dork at a strip club....$20 at a time...

The thing is that having a higher propensity to get called is automatically a bad thing.... there is no good side to it unless you paly only the nuts and the nuts are few and far between and the nuts are rarely decided before the river and people rarely pay off when they miss their draws an then you get it all in.....